Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001130 1.282340e-03 0.001437 0.001605 0.001781 0.001960 0.002155
2025-03-30 0.000909 1.127862e-03 0.001357 0.001614 0.001891 0.002179 0.002500
2025-04-06 0.000759 1.027898e-03 0.001320 0.001655 0.002025 0.002418 0.002861
2025-04-13 0.000662 9.732450e-04 0.001323 0.001734 0.002196 0.002693 0.003260
2025-04-20 0.000500 8.274310e-04 0.001211 0.001674 0.002206 0.002787 0.003460
2025-04-27 0.000363 6.925934e-04 0.001098 0.001605 0.002198 0.002856 0.003626
2025-05-04 0.000303 6.485838e-04 0.001090 0.001652 0.002320 0.003067 0.003949
2025-05-11 0.000204 5.364031e-04 0.000987 0.001579 0.002297 0.003111 0.004080
2025-05-18 0.000120 4.253325e-04 0.000873 0.001485 0.002243 0.003115 0.004163
2025-05-25 0.000072 3.586426e-04 0.000812 0.001451 0.002257 0.003193 0.004328
2025-06-01 0.000031 2.826120e-04 0.000729 0.001383 0.002225 0.003215 0.004425
2025-06-08 0.000012 2.403141e-04 0.000690 0.001370 0.002258 0.003311 0.004606
2025-06-15 0.000003 2.165354e-04 0.000691 0.001428 0.002404 0.003571 0.005012
2025-06-22 NaN 1.749002e-04 0.000657 0.001439 0.002492 0.003764 0.005346
2025-06-29 NaN 1.482490e-04 0.000645 0.001479 0.002619 0.004006 0.005739
2025-07-06 NaN 1.358654e-04 0.000658 0.001554 0.002792 0.004306 0.006202
2025-07-13 NaN 8.665537e-05 0.000584 0.001498 0.002791 0.004391 0.006411
2025-07-20 NaN 4.647654e-05 0.000509 0.001432 0.002773 0.004454 0.006592
2025-07-27 NaN 3.599424e-05 0.000505 0.001477 0.002903 0.004698 0.006989
2025-08-03 NaN 1.192115e-05 0.000435 0.001408 0.002874 0.004744 0.007146
2025-08-10 NaN 1.538694e-07 0.000359 0.001319 0.002814 0.004746 0.007249
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000319 0.001287 0.002830 0.004843 0.007464
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000265 0.001223 0.002796 0.004874 0.007597